Daniel Altmaier vs Zizou BergsEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 16
#59ATP
1701ELO
1536Grass ELO
$574kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLLLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 12 · 2nd on
#48ATP
1756ELO
1628Grass ELO
$971kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWLWLW
Altmaier D.
vs
Bergs Z.

Daniel Altmaier faces Zizou Bergs in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Zizou Bergs holds the paper edge — ranked #48, a roughly 90-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Altmaier D.32%
Bergs Z.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bergs Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Grass Elo 1536
Surface ELO
6.1+91 Grass Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1701
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1756
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.65 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Altmaier D.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Bergs Z.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Altmaier D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
71
68
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Clear edge
34
21
Deciding sets·Even
92
90
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
65
75

Altmaier D.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d) · Bergs Z.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
32°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.