Daniel Altmaier vs Aleksandar KovacevicEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 32
#81ATP
1707ELO
1546Grass ELO
$574kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#68ATP
1656ELO
1504Grass ELO
$616kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLWWWL
Altmaier D.
vs
Kovacevic A.

Daniel Altmaier faces Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Daniel Altmaier holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Altmaier D.55%
Kovacevic A.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+42 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1504
5.6Overall Elo 1707
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1656
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.54 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
10.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Altmaier D.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Altmaier D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
53
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
34
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
54
77

Altmaier D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 101 games (7d) · Kovacevic A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-03RotterdamR32hardDaniel Altmaier1-6 6-4 6-3
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final