Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys — Eastbourne Quarter-final

Eastbourne · ATP · Quarter-final

FRA

Ugo Humbert

#30ATP

1832ELO

1701Grass ELO

$940kYTD

$11MCAREER

27 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WWLWWWLWLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 25 June 2026 · 11:00

grass

FRA

Quentin Halys

#101ATP

1715ELO

1628Grass ELO

$694kYTD

$5.4MCAREER

29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLWWLWWL

Humbert U.

Halys Q.

Ugo Humbert faces Quentin Halys in the Eastbourne quarter-final on grass. Ugo Humbert is the paper favourite — ranked #30, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage — but Quentin Halys has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC

Humbert U.71%

Halys Q.29%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Humbert U. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Ugo Humbert comes in with 1 days of rest and 152 games in 14d, vs Quentin Halys's 4 and 18.
Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Ugo Humbert grades 53 on serve, Quentin Halys 14 on return.
Last match: Ugo Humbert dropped just 5 games past Jenson Brooksby.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Humbert U.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Halys Q.

4.7

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.9+73 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.1Grass Elo 1628

6.5Overall Elo 1832

ELO gap

3.5Overall Elo 1715

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

7.37 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

3.74 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Humbert U.Rising

Halys Q.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season

Humbert U.Halys Q.

1st serve in·Even

61%

62%

1st serve points won·Even

76%

77%

2nd serve points won·Even

54%

52%

Service points won·Even

67%

Return points won·Even

34%

35%

Break points saved·Even

68%

67%

Aces / match·Clear edge

7.1

9.8

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.4

2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Humbert U.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Halys Q.

Halys Q.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Humbert U.Halys Q.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Even

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load

Humbert U.Halys Q.

Freshness·Dominant

Humbert U.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 103 games (7d) · Halys Q.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather forecast

27°CClear

Wind 19 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-05-27	Roland Garros	R64	clay	Quentin Halys	4-6 6.4-7.7 6.8-7.10