Ugo Humbert vs Mattia Bellucci — Eastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 32

FRA6

Ugo Humbert

#28ATP

1868ELO

1769Grass ELO

$1.2MYTD

$12MCAREER

28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLWWWLWW

2 — 1

Sets

Tuesday, 23 June 2026 · 17:15

grass

ITA

Mattia Bellucci

#80ATP

1720ELO

1657Grass ELO

$597kYTD

$2.5MCAREER

25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWWWLWWLL

Humbert U.

7-6 6-7 6-4

Bellucci M.

Humbert U.

7662

Bellucci M.

6741

Ugo Humbert defeated Mattia Bellucci in the Round of 32 at Eastbourne, advancing with a 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 victory on grass. The match lasted three sets, with Humbert ultimately emerging as the winner.

Key context

Match story: Ugo Humbert edged Mattia Bellucci in three tight sets (7–6 6–7 6–4).

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Humbert U.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on grass

Humbert U.Bellucci M.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Humbert U.Bellucci M.

1st serve in·Even

60%

61%

1st serve points won·Even

76%

72%

2nd serve points won·Even

53%

Service points won·Even

67%

64%

Return points won·Even

35%

36%

Break points saved·Slight edge

67%

62%

Aces / match·Clear edge

7.1

5.4

Double faults / match·Slight edge

3.2

2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Humbert U.Bellucci M.

Clutch Rating·Slight edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Slight edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC

Humbert U.74%

Bellucci M.26%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Humbert U. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Humbert U.

7.0

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Bellucci M.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.3+24 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.7Grass Elo 1583

6.8Overall Elo 1843

ELO gap

3.2Overall Elo 1697

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.96 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

6.16 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

8.5Reached the semis here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Humbert U.Bellucci M.

Freshness·

—

Humbert U.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather

27°CClear

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 61%

Ugo Humbert vs Mattia Bellucci — Eastbourne Round of 32

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass