Jan Choinski vs Alexei PopyrinEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 32
#106ATP
1644ELO
1438Grass ELO
$198kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWLWL
Sets
Monday, 22 June 2026 ·
grass
#90ATP
1761ELO
1625Grass ELO
$540kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLWLLL
Choinski J.
vs
Popyrin A.

Jan Choinski faces Alexei Popyrin in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Alexei Popyrin holds the paper edge — ranked #90, a roughly 190-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Grass Elo 1438
Surface ELO
7.3+187 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1644
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1761
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.65 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.05 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

30 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
31%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
11.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Choinski J.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
53
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
99
Break points won·Clear edge
20
6
Deciding sets·Even
80
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
55
94

Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d) · Popyrin A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.