Jack Draper vs Gabriel Diallo — Eastbourne Quarter-final

Eastbourne · ATP · Quarter-final
Jack Draper
GBR
Jack Draper
#143ATP
1822ELO
1704Grass ELO
$351kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
Gabriel Diallo
CAN
Gabriel Diallo
#105ATP
1716ELO
1639Grass ELO
$530kYTD
$3.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Draper J.
6-1 6-4
Diallo G.
Draper J.
662
Diallo G.
140

Jack Draper defeated Gabriel Diallo in the Eastbourne quarterfinals, winning 6-1, 6-4 on grass. Draper hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Diallo had 10 aces and no double faults. Draper converted 44% of break points and won 4 service breaks to Diallo's 1.

Around the match

  • “Back on tour after another lengthy injury layoff”

    Draper J.Last Word On Sports ↗

  • Draper returns to competition after two months out with a knee injury, showing promise with two straight-set wins.

    Draper J.The Grandstand ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Draper J.Diallo G.
1st serve in·Even
65%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Even
33%
32%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Even
7.0
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Draper J.Diallo G.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
44
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Dominant
88
22
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
21

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Draper J.60%
Diallo G.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Draper J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Draper J.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Diallo G.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+45 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1535
8.3Overall Elo 2005
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1738
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Draper J.Diallo G.
Freshness·Slight edge
94
99

Draper J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Diallo G.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw