Jack Draper vs Gabriel Diallo — Eastbourne Quarter-final

Eastbourne · ATP · Quarter-final

GBR

Jack Draper

#160ATP

1808ELO

1654Grass ELO

$305kYTD

$8.9MCAREER

24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLLLWWWLW

2 — 0

Sets

Thursday, 25 June 2026 · 14:40

grass

CENTRE COURT · 3rd on

CAN

Gabriel Diallo

#91ATP

1697ELO

1640Grass ELO

$480kYTD

$3.1MCAREER

24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLLLLLWLL

Draper J.

6-1 6-4

Diallo G.

Draper J.

662

Diallo G.

140

Jack Draper reeled off seven straight games on the way to a 6-1 6-4 win over Gabriel Diallo in the Eastbourne quarter-final.

Around the match

“Back on tour after another lengthy injury layoff”
Draper J.Last Word On Sports ↗
Draper returns to competition after two months out with a knee injury, showing promise with two straight-set wins.
Draper J.The Grandstand ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Set 1, game 4: Jack Draper broke serve.
Set 2, game 1: Jack Draper broke serve.
Pressure points: Jack Draper converted 4 of 9 break points; Gabriel Diallo converted 1 of 1 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Draper J.

Diallo G.

Break points won

4/9

1/1

Break points saved

0/1

5/9

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Draper J.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Diallo G.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Draper J.Diallo G.

1st serve in·Slight edge

62%

68%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

78%

70%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

52%

44%

Service points won·Slight edge

68%

62%

Return points won·Even

32%

33%

Break points saved·Even

57%

53%

Aces / match·Slight edge

7.9

6.6

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.9

2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Draper J.Diallo G.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC

Draper J.71%

Diallo G.29%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Draper J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Draper J.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Diallo G.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.2+14 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.8Grass Elo 1640

6.4Overall Elo 1808

ELO gap

3.6Overall Elo 1697

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.47 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.25 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Draper J.Diallo G.

Freshness·Clear edge

Draper J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Diallo G.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather

29°CClear

Wind 19 km/hHumidity 59%