Toby Samuel vs Thiago Agustin TiranteEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 16
#109ATP
1745ELO
1595Grass ELO
$217kYTD
$332kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#65ATP
1741ELO
1564Grass ELO
$730kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLWW
Samuel T.
6-1 7-6
Tirante T.
Samuel T.
672
Tirante T.
160

Toby Samuel defeated Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-1, 7-6 in the Round of 16 at Eastbourne. Samuel hit 4 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Tirante made 3 double faults. Samuel won 94% of his first-serve points and converted 33% of break points en route to the win.

Key context

  • Match story: Toby Samuel came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.9
8.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Samuel T.41%
Tirante T.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tirante T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+16 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1488
3.5Overall Elo 1649
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1768
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
78

Samuel T.: 7 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Tirante T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw