Toby Samuel vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Eastbourne Round of 16
GBR
Samuel T.
Toby Samuel faces Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Thiago Agustin Tirante holds the paper edge — ranked #54, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Tirante T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Thiago Agustin Tirante's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Toby Samuel's has cooled.
- Fatigue load: Toby Samuel carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadSamuel T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.