Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur FeryEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 32
#62ATP
1724ELO
1578Grass ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#140ATP
1698ELO
1567Grass ELO
$247kYTD
$786kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLWW
Burruchaga R.
vs
Fery A.

Roman Andres Burruchaga faces Arthur Fery in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Roman Andres Burruchaga is the paper favourite — ranked #62 — but Arthur Fery has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC
Burruchaga R.55%
Fery A.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Arthur Fery leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Miami Masters 2026.
  • Fatigue load: Arthur Fery carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+10 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1567
5.3Overall Elo 1724
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1698
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.06 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.38 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Burruchaga R.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Fery A.

Fery A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
68
85
Break points won·Dominant
73
33
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
67

Fery A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersQ1hardArthur Fery2-6 6-4 6-4
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final