Matteo Arnaldi vs Giles Hussey — Eastbourne Round of 32
Arnaldi M.
Matteo Arnaldi faces Giles Hussey in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Matteo Arnaldi holds the paper edge — ranked #34, a roughly 210-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Arnaldi M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Matteo Arnaldi comes in with 1 days of rest and 26 games in 14d, vs Giles Hussey's 1 and 59.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Matteo Arnaldi has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 77 vs 45).
- Last match: Matteo Arnaldi dropped the opening set before beating Toby Samuel 3–6 6–4 6–4.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadArnaldi M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Hussey G.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.