Matteo Arnaldi vs Giles Hussey — Eastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 32
Matteo Arnaldi
ITAQ
Matteo Arnaldi
#35ATP
1830ELO
1630Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
GBRQ
Giles Hussey
#270ATP
1584ELO
1513Grass ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Arnaldi M.
4-6 2-6
Hussey G.
Arnaldi M.
420
Hussey G.
662

Giles Hussey defeated Matteo Arnaldi in the Round of 32 at Eastbourne, winning 6-4, 6-2 on grass. Hussey had a 100% first-serve win percentage, while Arnaldi had 67%. The match saw no aces, double faults, converted break points, or service breaks for either player.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Arnaldi M.Hussey G.
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Arnaldi M.Hussey G.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
54
45
Break points saved·Dominant
95
57
Break points won·Dominant
22
57
Deciding sets·Clear edge
57
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Arnaldi M.88%
Hussey G.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Arnaldi M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Hussey G.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+20 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1480
7.6Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1613
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on grass
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaldi M.Hussey G.
Freshness·
98
—

Arnaldi M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw