Arthur Fery vs Juan Manuel CerundoloEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 16
#118ATP
1698ELO
1567Grass ELO
$247kYTD
$786kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#45ATP
1779ELO
1507Grass ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWWW
Fery A.
vs
Cerundolo J.

Arthur Fery faces Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Juan Manuel Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #45.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Fery A.44%
Cerundolo J.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+61 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1507
4.0Overall Elo 1698
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1779
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
1.51 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Heat performance
8.5Excels in hot weather

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fery A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fery A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
85
Break points saved·Even
85
81
Break points won·Dominant
33
80
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
75

Fery A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d) · Cerundolo J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on COURT 1 · not before Not before 12:00 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Samuel T. v Tirante T.
  2. 2Fery A. v Cerundolo J.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
32°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.