Jack Draper vs Jack Pinnington JonesEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 16
#160ATP
1808ELO
1654Grass ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#145ATP
1571ELO
1571Grass ELO
$187kYTD
$529kCAREER
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLLLLW
Draper J.
vs
Pinnington Jones J.

Jack Draper faces Jack Pinnington Jones in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Jack Pinnington Jones holds the paper edge — ranked #145.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Draper J.82%
Pinnington Jones J.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Draper J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+83 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1571
8.0Overall Elo 1808
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1571
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

8 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
Return points won·Even
32%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.9
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Pinnington Jones J.

Pinnington Jones J.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
89
Break points won·Dominant
83
50
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
73
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Pinnington Jones J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.