Xiyu Wang vs Mayar Sherif — Brescia Final
Wang X.
Xiyu Wang faces Mayar Sherif in the Brescia final on clay. Xiyu Wang is the paper favourite — ranked #101, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage — but Mayar Sherif has won their only previous meeting, though none on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Wang X. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Xiyu Wang dropped just 4 games past Anastasiya Soboleva.
- Last match: Mayar Sherif dropped just 6 games past Elizara Yaneva.
- Head-to-head: Mayar Sherif leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at Cincinnati 2023.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati | R64 | hard | Mayar Sherif | 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(5) |