Kathinka Von Deichmann vs Anastasiya SobolevaBrescia Round of 32

Brescia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#278WTA
1445ELO
1408Clay ELO
32 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLWWL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
#337WTA
1406ELO
1400Clay ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
LWLWWLWWWW
Von Deichmann K.
vs
Soboleva A.

Kathinka Von Deichmann faces Anastasiya Soboleva in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Kathinka Von Deichmann is the paper favourite — ranked #278 — but Anastasiya Soboleva arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay to Kathinka Von Deichmann's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Von Deichmann K.70%
Soboleva A.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Von Deichmann K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+8 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1400
4.9Overall Elo 1445
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1406
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0Last match 1h38m
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Von Deichmann K.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Soboleva A.

Soboleva A.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Von Deichmann K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
33
39
Break points saved·Dominant
60
12
Break points won·Slight edge
78
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
21
77
Tiebreaks·
63

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.