Julia Grabher vs Chloe Paquet — Brescia Round of 32
Grabher J.
Julia Grabher faces Chloe Paquet in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Julia Grabher holds the paper edge — ranked #116, a roughly 170-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Grabher J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Julia Grabher 44 games in 14 days, Chloe Paquet 168.
- Under pressure: Julia Grabher has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 61 vs Chloe Paquet's 8).
- Surface form: Julia Grabher 5 of 10, Chloe Paquet 6 of 10 on clay recently — Chloe Paquet the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGrabher J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Paquet C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on COURT 2 · not before Starting at 10:30 AM · up next on court
- 1Grabher J. v Paquet C.This match
- 2Ristic M. v Chiesa D.
- 3Ruggeri J. v Bertea E.
- 4Ferro F. v Rinaldo Persson K.
- 5Mintegi Del Olmo A. v You X.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.