Mia Ristic vs Deborah Chiesa — Brescia Round of 32
Ristic M.
Mia Ristic faces Deborah Chiesa in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Mia Ristic is the paper favourite — ranked #268 — but Deborah Chiesa arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Mia Ristic's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Deborah Chiesa rising, Mia Ristic cooling.
- Last match: Deborah Chiesa dropped the opening set before beating Ekaterina Kazionova 3–6 6–2 6–2.
- Last match: Mia Ristic dropped just 5 games past Noemi Basiletti.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
When it starts
2nd on COURT 2 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Grabher J. v Paquet C.
- 2Ristic M. v Chiesa D.This match
- 3Ruggeri J. v Bertea E.
- 4Ferro F. v Rinaldo Persson K.
- 5Mintegi Del Olmo A. v You X.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.