Ekaterina Kazionova vs Deborah Chiesa — Brescia Qualifying Final
Kazionova E.
Ekaterina Kazionova faces Deborah Chiesa in the Brescia qualifying final on clay. Deborah Chiesa holds the paper edge — ranked #397, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Chiesa D. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Ekaterina Kazionova dropped just 5 games past Julie Struplova.
- Last match: Deborah Chiesa handed Lucija Ciric Bagaric a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–2 win.
- Surface form: Ekaterina Kazionova 2 of 7, Deborah Chiesa 4 of 7 on clay recently — Deborah Chiesa the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
When it starts
2nd on COURT 2 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Ruggeri J. v Pieri T.
- 2Kazionova E. v Chiesa D.This match
- 4Serban R. v Sherif M.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.