Raluka Serban vs Mayar SherifBrescia Round of 32

Brescia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#296WTA
1372ELO
1351Clay ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLLWWW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
#118WTA
1620ELO
1597Clay ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWWWL
Serban R.
vs
Sherif M.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Serban R.12%
Sherif M.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sherif M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Clay Elo 1351
Surface ELO
8.1+246 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1372
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
9.0Last match 1h18m
Prev. match
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Serban R.Stable
Sherif M.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

21 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
64%
78%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.2
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Serban R.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Sherif M.

Sherif M.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Serban R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
62
Break points saved·Dominant
37
84
Break points won·Slight edge
76
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
21
49
Tiebreaks·Dominant
14
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Sherif M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.