Elizara Yaneva vs Georgia Pedone — Brescia Round of 32

Brescia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

BUL

Elizara Yaneva

#225WTA

1533ELO

1449Clay ELO

19 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWLWLLWW

—

Sets

Monday, 15 June 2026 · 10:30

clay

ITA

Georgia Pedone

#312WTA

1299ELO

1312Clay ELO

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LLWWLWLLWW

Yaneva E.

Pedone G.

Elizara Yaneva faces Georgia Pedone in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Elizara Yaneva is the paper favourite — ranked #225, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage — but Georgia Pedone arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 7 on clay to Elizara Yaneva's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC

Yaneva E.85%

Pedone G.15%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Yaneva E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Surface form: Elizara Yaneva 2 of 7, Georgia Pedone 3 of 7 on clay recently — Georgia Pedone the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Georgia Pedone carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Yaneva E.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Pedone G.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

6.7+138 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.3Clay Elo 1312

6.7Overall Elo 1533

ELO gap

3.3Overall Elo 1298

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.03 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.55 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Yaneva E.Sliding

Pedone G.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season

Yaneva E.Pedone G.

1st serve in·Dominant

64%

90%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

62%

52%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

45%

39%

Service points won·Slight edge

56%

51%

Return points won·Slight edge

47%

52%

Break points saved·Slight edge

55%

45%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.6

0.0

Double faults / match·Dominant

3.3

0.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Yaneva E.serving30% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Pedone G.

Pedone G.serving31% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Yaneva E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Yaneva E.Pedone G.

Freshness·Clear edge

Yaneva E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pedone G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

17°CMainly clear

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.