Alessandra Mazzola vs Luisina GiovanniniBrescia Round of 32

Brescia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#389WTA
1373ELO
1360Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLWLWWL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
#173WTA
1476ELO
1471Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWW
Mazzola A.
vs
Giovannini L.

Alessandra Mazzola faces Luisina Giovannini in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Luisina Giovannini holds the paper edge — ranked #173, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Mazzola A.30%
Giovannini L.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Giovannini L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Both 4 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1360
Surface ELO
6.4+111 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1372
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1476
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Last match 2h01m
Prev. match
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
79%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
51%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
52%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.1
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mazzola A.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Giovannini L.

Giovannini L.serving36% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Mazzola A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.