Julia Grabher vs Nuria Brancaccio — Brescia Round of 32
Grabher J.
Julia Grabher faces Nuria Brancaccio in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Julia Grabher holds the paper edge — ranked #116, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Grabher J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Julia Grabher has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 61 vs 14).
- Freshness: Julia Grabher comes in with 3 days of rest and 44 games in 14d, vs Nuria Brancaccio's 2 and 72.
- Head-to-head: Julia Grabher leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Rome 2023.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGrabher J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Brancaccio N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-08 | Rome | R128 | clay | Julia Grabher | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |