Jennifer Ruggeri vs Elena Ruxandra BerteaBrescia Round of 32

Brescia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#213WTA
1566ELO
1541Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 3rd on
#287WTA
1486ELO
1472Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LLWWLWLWWL
Ruggeri J.
vs
Bertea E.

Jennifer Ruggeri faces Elena Ruxandra Bertea in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Jennifer Ruggeri holds the paper edge — ranked #213, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Ruggeri J.78%
Bertea E.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ruggeri J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+69 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1472
6.0Overall Elo 1566
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1486
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
8.28 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Prev. match
6.0Last match 2h36m
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Ruggeri J.Cooling
Bertea E.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
49%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.9
Double faults / match·Even
4.3
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ruggeri J.serving44% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Bertea E.

Bertea E.serving28% hold

wins 41% of points on serve vs Ruggeri J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
97

Ruggeri J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Bertea E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on COURT 2 · not before Followed by · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Grabher J. v Paquet C.
  2. 2Ristic M. v Chiesa D.
  3. 3Ruggeri J. v Bertea E.This match
  4. 4Ferro F. v Rinaldo Persson K.
  5. 5Mintegi Del Olmo A. v You X.

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.