Julia Grabher vs Anastasiya Soboleva — Brescia Round of 16
Grabher J.
Julia Grabher faces Anastasiya Soboleva in the Brescia round of 16 on clay. Julia Grabher is the paper favourite — ranked #116, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage — but Anastasiya Soboleva arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on clay to Julia Grabher's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Grabher J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Julia Grabher comes in with 5 days of rest and 44 games in 14d, vs Anastasiya Soboleva's 1 and 27.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Julia Grabher has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 61 vs 41).
- Last match: Anastasiya Soboleva dropped the opening set before beating Kathinka Von Deichmann 4–6 6–4 6–1.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGrabher J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Soboleva A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.