Anastasiya Soboleva vs Ane Mintegi Del OlmoBrescia

Brescia · CHALLENGER
1406ELO
1400Clay ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
WWLWLWWLWW
Sets
Friday, 19 June 2026 ·
clay
#280WTA
1413ELO
1382Clay ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWL
Soboleva A.
vs
Mintegi Del Olmo A.

Anastasiya Soboleva faces Ane Mintegi Del Olmo in the Brescia match on clay. Anastasiya Soboleva holds the paper edge — a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Soboleva A.50%
Mintegi Del Olmo A.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+18 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1382
3.9Overall Elo 1406
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1413
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

30 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Break points saved·Even
52%
52%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
0.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Soboleva A.serving27% hold

wins 40% of points on serve vs Mintegi Del Olmo A.

Mintegi Del Olmo A.serving44% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Soboleva A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
84

Soboleva A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Mintegi Del Olmo A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 70%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.