Darya Astakhova vs Noemi Basiletti — Brescia Round of 32
Astakhova D.
Darya Astakhova faces Noemi Basiletti in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Darya Astakhova holds the paper edge — ranked #236, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Astakhova D. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Darya Astakhova comes in with 9 days of rest and 162 games in 14d, vs Noemi Basiletti's 1 and 90.
- Surface form: Darya Astakhova 6 of 9, Noemi Basiletti 3 of 9 on clay recently — Darya Astakhova the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadAstakhova D.: 9 days rest · 8 matches (14d) · Basiletti N.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on CENTER COURT · not before Starting at 10:30 AM · up next on court
- 1Astakhova D. v Basiletti N.This match
- 2Ortenzi J. v Pace F.
- 4Wang X. v Gao X.
- 5Monnet C. v Trevisan M.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.