Xiyu Wang vs Anastasiya Soboleva — Brescia Semi-final
Wang X.
Xiyu Wang faces Anastasiya Soboleva in the Brescia semi-final on clay. Xiyu Wang is the paper favourite — a roughly 320-point clay Elo advantage — but Anastasiya Soboleva arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on clay to Xiyu Wang's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Wang X. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Xiyu Wang 76 games in 14 days, Anastasiya Soboleva 57.
- Last match: Xiyu Wang dropped just 3 games past Luisina Giovannini.
- Surface form: Xiyu Wang 4 of 7, Anastasiya Soboleva 5 of 7 on clay recently — Anastasiya Soboleva the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadWang X.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 51 games (7d) · Soboleva A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.