Fiona Ferro vs Ekaterine Gorgodze — Brescia Round of 16
Ferro F.
Fiona Ferro faces Ekaterine Gorgodze in the Brescia round of 16 on clay. Fiona Ferro holds the paper edge — ranked #185, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Ferro F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Ekaterine Gorgodze dropped the opening set before beating Nuria Brancaccio 4–6 6–2 7–6.
- Surface form: Fiona Ferro 4 of 6, Ekaterine Gorgodze 1 of 6 on clay recently — Fiona Ferro the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGorgodze E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
3rd on CENTER COURT · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Astakhova D. v Giovannini L.
- 3Ferro F. v Gorgodze E.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.