Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Mayar SherifBrescia Quarter-final

Brescia · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
1491ELO
1450Clay ELO
20 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLLWWL
Sets
Friday, 19 June 2026 ·
clay
#127WTA
1617ELO
1594Clay ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWLWLW
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
vs
Sherif M.

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah faces Mayar Sherif in the Brescia quarter-final on clay. Mayar Sherif holds the paper edge — a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.19%
Sherif M.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sherif M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1450
Surface ELO
6.8+144 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1491
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1616
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

11 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
65%
78%
1st serve points won·Even
54%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Even
0.6
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

wins 42% of points on serve vs Sherif M.

Sherif M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
82

Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Sherif M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.