Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaLondon Round of 16

London · ATP · Round of 16
#36ATP
1776ELO
1704Grass ELO
$688kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 ·
grass
#22ATP
1869ELO
1713Grass ELO
$844kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLWLW
Moutet C.
vs
Davidovich Fokina A.

Corentin Moutet faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the London round of 16 on grass. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the paper edge — ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 4–0.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1704
Surface ELO
5.1+8 Grass Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1776
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1869
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.77 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Moutet C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
87
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Clear edge
75
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
91
Tiebreaks·Even
77
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Moutet C.Davidovich Fokina A.
12
Serve
22
62
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
93

Moutet C.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-18HamburgR32clayAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-4
2025-07-27Canada MastersR64hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-3
2021-05-10Rome MastersQ2clayAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-6(5)
2020-09-14Rome MastersQ3clayAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 6-2