Rinky Hijikata vs Alejandro TabiloLondon Round of 32

London · ATP · Round of 32
#106ATP
1683ELO
1602Grass ELO
$396kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWWLLW
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#31ATP
1842ELO
1720Grass ELO
$742kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLWWL
Hijikata R.
vs
Tabilo A.

Rinky Hijikata faces Alejandro Tabilo in the London round of 32 on grass. Alejandro Tabilo holds the paper edge — ranked #31, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Hijikata R.16%
Tabilo A.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tabilo A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1602
Surface ELO
6.5+118 Grass Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1683
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1842
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.56 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

35 vs 39 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
5.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hijikata R.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Hijikata R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
74
Break points saved·Even
95
97
Break points won·Dominant
25
59
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
54
98

Hijikata R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d) · Tabilo A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.