Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio BuseRio de Janeiro Semi-final

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Semi-final
#31ATP
1819ELO
1781Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
clay
#33ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Tabilo A.
6-3 6-3
Buse I.
Tabilo A.
662
Buse I.
330

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Ignacio Buse 6-3 6-3 in the Rio de Janeiro semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Alejandro Tabilo extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-03Davis Cup QLS R1: CHI vs PERRRhardAlejandro Tabilo2-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tabilo A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Serve advantage — Tabilo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Tabilo A.Buse I.
83
Serve
41
33
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
87
Break points won·Dominant
59
28
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3Clay Elo 1781
Surface ELO
3.7+5 Clay Elo edge
6.5Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1822
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.4
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
7.6
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
94

Tabilo A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Buse I.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 63%