Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics — London Round of 32
Nakashima B.
Brandon Nakashima faces Marton Fucsovics in the London round of 32 on grass. Brandon Nakashima holds the paper edge — ranked #32. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Nakashima B. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Brandon Nakashima comes in with 15 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Marton Fucsovics's 3 and 54.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Brandon Nakashima grades 62 on serve, Marton Fucsovics 57 on return.
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Tokyo 2025.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadNakashima B.: 15 days rest · Fucsovics M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | R16 | hard | Brandon Nakashima | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati Masters | Q1 | hard | Marton Fucsovics | 6-2 6-4 |