Brandon Nakashima vs Marton FucsovicsTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#76ATP
1756ELO
1719Hard ELO
$550kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLLL
Nakashima B.
7-5 6-3
Fucsovics M.
Nakashima B.
762
Fucsovics M.
530

Brandon Nakashima defeated Marton Fucsovics 7-5 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 16. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-16LondonR32grassBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-3
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersQ1hardMarton Fucsovics6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fucsovics M.

Fucsovics M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.
61
Serve
23
23
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
73
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
13
65
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+69 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1719
5.5Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1756
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
87

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Fucsovics M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%