Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse — London Round of 16
PER
Nakashima B.
Brandon Nakashima faces Ignacio Buse in the London round of 16 on grass. Brandon Nakashima holds the paper edge — ranked #32, a roughly 140-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Nakashima B. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Brandon Nakashima brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 60), Ignacio Buse the stronger return game (Return Rating 26).
- Last match: Ignacio Buse dropped the opening set before beating Marcos Giron 3–6 7–5 7–6.
- Last match: Brandon Nakashima dropped just 6 games past Marton Fucsovics.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on grass
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.