Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov — London Round of 32
London · ATP · Round of 32
#133ATP
1590ELO
1602Grass ELO
$153kYTD
$494kCAREER
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLWWLL
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#42ATP
1795ELO
1643Grass ELO
$595kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLLLW
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCPinnington Jones J.26%
Shapovalov D.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Shapovalov D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.5Grass Elo 1602
Surface ELO5.5+41 Grass Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1590
ELO gap7.6Overall Elo 1795
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form3.54 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
15°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 63%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form66%1st serve in+8%58%
71%1st serve points won+1%72%
48%2nd serve points won+3%51%
63%Service points won63%
36%Return points won36%
62%Break points saved+6%56%
5.1Aces / match+2.37.4
3.8Double faults / match+14.8
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.