Arthur Rinderknech vs Hamad Medjedovic — London Round of 32
Rinderknech A.
Arthur Rinderknech faces Hamad Medjedovic in the London round of 32 on grass. Arthur Rinderknech holds the paper edge — ranked #24, a roughly 30-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Arthur Rinderknech comes in with 3 days of rest and 31 games in 14d, vs Hamad Medjedovic's 18 and 0.
- Serve & return: Arthur Rinderknech leads on Serve Rating (54), Hamad Medjedovic on Return Rating (14).
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Shanghai Masters 2025.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadRinderknech A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Medjedovic H.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | R128 | hard | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-7(3) 1-0 RET |
| 2025-08-17 | Winston-Salem | R64 | hard | Hamad Medjedovic | 6-3 7-6(9) |