Jenson Brooksby vs Martin DammLondon Round of 32

London · ATP · Round of 32
#73ATP
1708ELO
1661Grass ELO
$377kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLLLW
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#114ATP
1697ELO
1656Grass ELO
$269kYTD
$841kCAREER
22 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLLWL
Brooksby J.
vs
Damm M.

Jenson Brooksby faces Martin Damm in the London round of 32 on grass. Jenson Brooksby holds the paper edge — ranked #73.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Brooksby J.50%
Damm M.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Jenson Brooksby comes in with 5 days of rest and 32 games in 14d, vs Martin Damm's 1 and 191.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jenson Brooksby has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 90 vs 28).

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+5 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1656
5.1Overall Elo 1708
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1697
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.36 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.06 of last 9 on grass
0.0Lost last 9
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Damm M.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

14 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
69%
Return points won·Even
33%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.1
12.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brooksby J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Damm M.

Damm M.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Brooksby J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
90
28
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
92
Break points won·Dominant
78
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
9
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
87
60

Brooksby J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Damm M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.