Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin MoutetLondon Round of 32

London · ATP · Round of 32
#93ATP
1722ELO
1643Grass ELO
$348kYTD
$3.3MCAREER
22 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLLLWW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
ANDY MURRAY ARENA · 4th on
#36ATP
1788ELO
1710Grass ELO
$577kYTD
$6.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLWLWL
Mpetshi Perricard G.
vs
Moutet C.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard faces Corentin Moutet in the London round of 32 on grass. Corentin Moutet holds the paper edge — ranked #36, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Mpetshi Perricard G.42%
Moutet C.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Moutet C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1643
Surface ELO
5.8+67 Grass Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1788
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
65%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
78%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
29%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mpetshi Perricard G.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Mpetshi Perricard G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
82
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Dominant
1
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
58
94

Mpetshi Perricard G.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 104 games (7d) · Moutet C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on ANDY MURRAY ARENA · not before Followed By · 3 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Van De Zandschulp B. v Wendelken H.
  2. 2Paul T. v Svajda Z.
  3. 3Pinnington Jones J. v Shapovalov D.
  4. 4Mpetshi Perricard G. v Moutet C.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.