Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Harry WendelkenLondon Round of 32

London · ATP · Round of 32
#55ATP
1758ELO
1600Grass ELO
$537kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLWLW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
ANDY MURRAY ARENA · 1st on
#224ATP
1556ELO
1431Grass ELO
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLLLLL
Van De Zandschulp B.
vs
Wendelken H.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Van De Zandschulp B.77%
Wendelken H.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Van De Zandschulp B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.1+169 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Grass Elo 1431
7.5Overall Elo 1758
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1556
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Wendelken H.

Wendelken H.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
67

Van De Zandschulp B.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Wendelken H.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on ANDY MURRAY ARENA · not before Starts At 11:30 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Van De Zandschulp B. v Wendelken H.This match
  2. 2Paul T. v Svajda Z.
  3. 3Pinnington Jones J. v Shapovalov D.
  4. 4Mpetshi Perricard G. v Moutet C.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.