Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino — London Round of 32
CZE
Mensik J.
Jakub Mensik faces Adrian Mannarino in the London round of 32 on grass. Jakub Mensik holds the paper edge — ranked #17, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Mensik J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jakub Mensik 119 games in 14 days, Adrian Mannarino 100.
- Under pressure: Jakub Mensik has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 88 vs Adrian Mannarino's 64).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMensik J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mannarino A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.