Jesper De Jong vs Jakub MensikShanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#73ATP
1711ELO
1607Hard ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#18ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
De Jong J.
4-6 7-6 6-4
Mensik J.
De Jong J.
47762
Mensik J.
66241

Jesper De Jong defeated Jakub Mensik 4-6 7-6 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jakub Mensik came in ranked #18, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
De Jong J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Mensik J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Jong J.Mensik J.
23
Serve
42
17
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
12.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (83 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
98
Break points won·Dominant
37
77
Deciding sets·Clear edge
69
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
0.9Hard Elo 1607
Surface ELO
9.1+286 Hard Elo edge
1.3Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
8.7Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
6.1
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
5.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
86

De Jong J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mensik J.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%