Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron — London Round of 32

London · ATP · Round of 32
Ignacio Buse
PER
Ignacio Buse
#35ATP
1831ELO
1589Grass ELO
$804kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 5 · 1st on
Marcos Giron
USA
Marcos Giron
#88ATP
1745ELO
1689Grass ELO
$367kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLLWW
Buse I.
vs
Giron M.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Buse I.50%
Giron M.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Buse I.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Giron M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Grass Elo 1589
Surface ELO
6.3+100 Grass Elo edge
6.1Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Buse I.Rising
Giron M.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
Buse I.Giron M.
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.1
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Buse I.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Giron M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Buse I.Giron M.
Clutch Rating·Even
61
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
98
Break points won·Clear edge
28
42
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
59
Tiebreaks·Even
88
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Buse I.Giron M.
Freshness·Dominant
100
46

Buse I.: 21 days rest · Giron M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on COURT 5 · not before Starts At 11:30 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Buse I. v Giron M.This match
  2. 2Brooksby J. v Damm M.
  3. 3Rinderknech A. v Medjedovic H.
  4. 4Hijikata R. v Tabilo A.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.