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Elena Rybakina vs Linda Noskova — WTA Finals Round Robin

WTA FinalsRound RobinHardSun 8 Nov · 23:00
VSClear favourite · Rybakina E.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Rybakina E.
74%26%

Clear edge for Rybakina E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rybakina E.7.4/10
Dominant favourite
Noskova L.6.0/10
Even match
Why
Surface+197 Hard Elo edgeSupports Rybakina E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2122Supports Rybakina E.
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Rybakina E.
This eventReached the final here last yearSupports Rybakina E.
Opponent formOpponent hot: 8 of last 10Against the prediction · Noskova L.
ELO2 257
Hard ELO2 167
Last 108–2
Age27
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $35.6M2026 $11.1M
ELO2 136
Hard ELO1 915
Last 108–2
Age21
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $12.2M2026 $7.6M

Elena Rybakina faces Linda Noskova in the WTA Finals round robin on hard. Elena Rybakina holds the paper edge — ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending the title. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

21 shared · last 12 months
All 21 opponents →

Rybakina E. and Noskova L. faced 21 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Rybakina E. went 26–7 (79%) against them, Noskova L. 19–10 (66%). Results against comparable opponents are close (8 : 4 better-results split).

26–779%Rybakina E. · better vs 8Record vs common opponents19–1066%Noskova L. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
56–20Sets41–28
425–309Games370–315
4–2Tiebreaks3–7
6–4Deciding sets9–3
Show 18 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Rybakina E. leads 3–0
Full H2H →
30

Hard: Rybakina E. leads 2–0 · Clay: Rybakina E. leads 1–0

Evidence

Rybakina E.Noskova L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–28–2
Season win rate78% (54–15) (ahead)74% (42–15)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2257 (ahead)2136
Hard-court ELO2167 (ahead)1915
Serve vs returnLast 68 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)73%
Return points won43% (ahead)41%
Aces / match6.46.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 68 vs 50 matches
Break points saved64%64%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

23:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast27°C · Partly cloudy
Wind12 km/h
Humidity36%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elena Rybakina vs Linda Noskova — WTA Finals Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-08/noskova-vs-rybakina-wta-finals-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 8 November 2026).