Linda Noskova vs Caty McnallyToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#6WTA
1976ELO
1913Hard ELO
$7.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#68WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$4.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWL
Noskova L.
6-7 1-6
Mcnally C.
Noskova L.
610
Mcnally C.
762

Caty McNally defeated Linda Noskova in the Round of 64 at the Toronto hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 6-1. McNally served five aces to Noskova's two and converted 67% of her break points, compared to Noskova's 40%. McNally won the match with four service breaks to Noskova's two.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • My career is not ending here, it is hopefully only starting. Winning a Grand Slam is an unreal thing... I feel like it's even a bigger motivation for me to keep going.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

  • Match story: Caty Mcnally came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-14W60 TrnavaQFhardCaty Mcnally3-6 6-1 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
71%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
55%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
42
Break points saved·Dominant
86
31
Break points won·Slight edge
89
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
25
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Noskova L.77%
Mcnally C.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Noskova L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.3+182 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1731
7.0Overall Elo 1976
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1817
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Noskova L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mcnally C.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw