Linda Noskova vs Caty Mcnally — Toronto Round of 64
USA
Noskova L.
Linda Noskova faces Caty Mcnally in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Linda Noskova is the paper favourite — ranked #7, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage — but Caty Mcnally has won their only previous meeting.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Noskova L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Linda Noskova brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 73), Caty Mcnally the stronger return game (Return Rating 53).
- Under pressure: Linda Noskova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 91 vs Caty Mcnally's 42).
- Last match: Caty Mcnally dropped the opening set before beating Tatjana Maria 4–6 7–6 6–1.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMcnally C.: played today · 4 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-14 | W60 Trnava | QF | hard | Caty Mcnally | 3-6 6-1 6-4 |