Elena Rybakina vs Varvara Gracheva — Australian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 64
Elena Rybakina
KAZ5
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
Varvara Gracheva
FRA
Varvara Gracheva
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Rybakina E.
7-5 6-2
Gracheva V.
Rybakina E.
762
Gracheva V.
520

Elena Rybakina defeated Varvara Gracheva 7-5 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian WellsR16hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-0
2022-02-07St. PetersburgR32hardElena Rybakina6-2 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Gracheva V.
100
Serve
3
34
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Gracheva V.
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Gracheva V.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
92
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
76
Break points won·Slight edge
96
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Gracheva V.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.7+347 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Hard Elo 1763
9.6Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.4Overall Elo 1810
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.5
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.6
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Gracheva V.
Freshness·
92
—

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[5]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Svitolina E.[12]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[5]
Pegula J.[6]
6-37-67
Quarter-finals
Svitolina E.[12]
Gauff C.[3]
6-16-2
Pegula J.[6]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-27-61
Rybakina E.[5]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-56-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Jovic I.[29]
6-36-0
R16
Gauff C.[3]
Muchova K.[19]
6-13-66-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Wang X.
7-646-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Inglis M.
6-06-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mboko V.[17]
6-17-61
Svitolina E.[12]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-26-4
Pegula J.[6]
Keys M.[9]
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Mertens E.[21]
6-16-3
Jovic I.[29]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-1
R32
Gauff C.[3]
Baptiste H.
3-66-06-3
Inglis M.
Osaka N.[16]
W/O
Sabalenka A.[1]
Potapova A.
7-647-67
Rybakina E.[5]
Valentova T.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Noskova L.[13]
7-56-4
Putintseva Y.
Sonmez Z.
6-36-736-3
Andreeva M.[8]
Ruse E.
6-36-4
Muchova K.[19]
Linette M.
6-16-1
Jovic I.[29]
Paolini J.[7]
6-27-63
Mboko V.[17]
Tauson C.[14]
7-655-76-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Stearns P.
6-16-4
Pegula J.[6]
Selekhmeteva O.
6-36-2
Mertens E.[21]
Bartunkova N.
6-06-4
Keys M.[9]
Pliskova K.
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Kalinskaya A.[31]
6-11-66-1
Svitolina E.[12]
Shnaider D.[23]
7-646-3
R64
Muchova K.[19]
Parks A.
4-66-46-4
Mboko V.[17]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[31]
Grabher J.
6-36-3
Linette M.
Li A.
6-36-3
Bartunkova N.
Bencic B.[10]
6-30-66-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Sakkari M.
6-06-4
Stearns P.
Marcinko P.
6-27-5
Tauson C.[14]
Kudermetova P.
6-33-67-5
Jovic I.[29]
Hon P.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[3]
Danilovic O.
6-26-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Bouzkova M.
6-26-3
Osaka N.[16]
Cirstea S.
6-34-66-2
Ruse E.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-4
Noskova L.[13]
Preston T.
6-24-66-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bai Z.
6-36-1
Pegula J.[6]
Kessler M.
6-06-2
Shnaider D.[23]
Gibson T.
3-67-56-3
Valentova T.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-52-66-3
Sonmez Z.
Bondar A.
6-26-4
Svitolina E.[12]
Klimovicova L.
7-56-1
Inglis M.
Siegemund L.
6-46-737-67
Mertens E.[21]
Uchijima M.
6-36-1
Anisimova A.[4]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Potapova A.
Raducanu E.[28]
7-636-2
Keys M.[9]
Krueger A.
6-17-5
Paolini J.[7]
Frech M.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Ostapenko J.[24]
4-66-46-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Gracheva V.
7-56-2
Pliskova K.
Tjen J.
6-46-4
Baptiste H.
Hunter S.
6-26-1
Putintseva Y.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-2
Selekhmeteva O.
Badosa P.[25]
6-46-4
R128
Siegemund L.
Samsonova L.[18]
0-67-56-4
Hon P.
Stakusic M.
1-66-45-3
Klimovicova L.
Jones F.
6-23-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Sun L.
6-37-5
Jovic I.[29]
Volynets K.
6-26-3
Jacquemot E.
Kostyuk M.[20]
6-747-647-67
Gracheva V.
Golubic V.
6-12-66-1
Gibson T.
Blinkova A.
6-16-3
Frech M.
Erjavec V.
6-16-1
Kudermetova P.
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
6-26-3
Bencic B.[10]
Boulter K.
6-07-5
Muchova K.[19]
Cristian J.
6-37-66
Badosa P.[25]
Diyas Z.
6-26-4
Danilovic O.
Williams V.
6-756-36-4
Pliskova K.
Stephens S.
7-676-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Vekic D.
4-66-36-0
Keys M.[9]
Oliynykova O.
7-666-1
Mcnally C.
Sakatsume H.
6-36-1
Noskova L.[13]
Semenistaja D.
6-36-0
Anisimova A.[4]
Waltert S.
6-36-2
Selekhmeteva O.
Seidel E.
6-33-66-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Yuan Y.
7-656-3
Parks A.
Eala A.
0-66-36-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Sramkova R.
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Juvan K.
6-46-3
Sonmez Z.
Alexandrova E.[11]
7-54-66-4
Mboko V.[17]
Jones E.
6-46-1
Potapova A.
Lamens S.
3-67-56-2
Inglis M.
Birrell K.
7-666-796-4
Bondar A.
Mandlik E.
6-06-4
Uchijima M.
Sierra S.
6-36-1
Valentova T.
Joint M.[30]
6-46-4
Tomljanovic A.
Starodubtseva Y.
4-67-636-1
Hunter S.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-4
Bouzkova M.
Zarazua R.
6-27-5
Gauff C.[3]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Kalinina A.
6-36-3
Putintseva Y.
Haddad Maia B.
3-67-56-3
Tjen J.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-27-61
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
6-46-1
Mertens E.[21]
Tararudee L.
7-56-1
Ruse E.
Yastremska D.[26]
6-47-5
Tauson C.[14]
Galfi D.
6-36-3
Li A.
Osorio C.
6-46-757-5
Bai Z.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-42-67-610
Sakkari M.
Jeanjean L.
6-46-2
Pegula J.[6]
Zakharova A.
6-26-1
Grabher J.
Cocciaretto E.
7-52-66-4
Baptiste H.
Townsend T.
6-36-736-3
Shnaider D.[23]
Krejcikova B.
2-66-36-3
Stearns P.
Kenin S.[27]
6-36-2
Kalinskaya A.[31]
Kartal S.
7-636-1
Preston T.
Zhang S.
6-32-66-3
Krueger A.
Bejlek S.
6-36-3
Marcinko P.
Maria T.
6-37-5
Svitolina E.[12]
Bucsa C.
6-46-1
Osaka N.[16]
Ruzic A.
6-33-66-4
Linette M.
Navarro E.[15]
3-66-36-3
Kessler M.
Arango E.
6-36-2
Siniakova K.
Udvardy P.
6-16-2
Raducanu E.[28]
Sawangkaew M.
6-46-1
Cirstea S.
Lys E.
3-66-46-3
Bartunkova N.
Kasatkina D.
7-670-66-3
Paolini J.[7]
Sasnovich A.
6-16-2