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Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula — WTA Finals Round Robin

WTA FinalsRound RobinHardSun 8 Nov · 00:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Gauff C.
62%38%

Gauff C. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Gauff C.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Pegula J.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+23 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Pegula J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2096Against the prediction · Pegula J.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headTrails 3–4 on hardSupports Gauff C.
This eventReached the semis here last yearAgainst the prediction · Pegula J.
ELO2 235
Hard ELO2 086
Last 108–2
Age22
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $36.8M2026 $7.1M
ELO2 192
Hard ELO2 073
Last 107–3
Age32
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $27.6M2026 $5.8M

Coco Gauff faces Jessica Pegula in the WTA Finals round robin on hard. Coco Gauff holds the paper edge — ranked #4, defending last year's round-robin. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 10 times, the series level at 5–5, Jessica Pegula ahead 4–3 on hard.

Key context

Common opponents

17 shared · last 12 months
All 17 opponents →

Gauff C. and Pegula J. faced 17 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Gauff C. went 17–12 (59%) against them, Pegula J. 17–9 (65%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 5 better-results split).

17–1259%Gauff C. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents17–965%Pegula J. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
42–30Sets37–25
348–315Games307–274
3–2Tiebreaks4–3
7–7Deciding sets7–3
Show 14 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

10 meetings · level 5–5
Full H2H →
55

Hard: Pegula J. leads 4–3 · Grass: Gauff C. leads 2–1

Evidence

Gauff C.Pegula J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate75% (47–16)78% (50–14) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2235 (ahead)2192
Hard-court ELO2086 (ahead)2073
Serve vs returnLast 61 vs 64 matches
1st-serve points won68%70% (ahead)
Return points won47% (ahead)45%
Aces / match3.04.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 61 vs 64 matches
Break points saved54%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

00:30 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast25°C · Mainly clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity47%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula — WTA Finals Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-08/gauff-vs-pegula-wta-finals-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 8 November 2026).