Coco Gauff vs Marta KostyukCincinnati Quarter-final

Cincinnati · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$34MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
hard
P&G STADIUM COURT · 5th on
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$10MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
Gauff C.
6-2 6-2
Kostyuk M.
Gauff C.
662
Kostyuk M.
220

Coco Gauff defeated Marta Kostyuk in the quarterfinals of the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-2, 6-2 on hard courts. Gauff hit one ace and three double faults, while Kostyuk had two aces and eight double faults. Gauff converted 55% of her break points and won 78% of her first-serve points, compared to Kostyuk's 67% in both categories; Gauff secured six service breaks to Kostyuk's two.

Around the match

  • We want to get better... and some things just take time. I'm focusing on the process and I keep getting better. So I'm not that focused on the results or ranking or whatever.

    Kostyuk M.wtatennis.com
  • I'm just a regular person. Maybe a couple of people might recognize me, but I'm always in different places where I feel pretty safe and nothing's going to happen. That's something I enjoy. I've always been someone who's enjoyed alone time.

  • I think a lot of players can get in the habit of Uber Eats or room service every night. It's nice sometimes, but I don't think it's healthy given how much we travel. It's nice to have a little bit of the outside world.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaR32hardMarta Kostyuk6-2 7-5
2024-10-07WuhanR16hardCoco Gauff6-4 6-1
2024-04-15StuttgartQFclayMarta Kostyuk3-6 6-4 7-6
2024-01-15Australian OpenQFhardCoco Gauff7-6 6-7 6-2
2022-01-10Adelaide 2R16hardCoco Gauff6-3 5-7 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.0
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
72
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Gauff C.57%
Kostyuk M.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+67 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1968
5.2Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 2057
5.7Leads 2–1 on hard
H2H
4.3Trails 1–2 on hard
8.99 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
86

Gauff C.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 51 games (7d) · Kostyuk M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw