Marta Kostyuk vs Coco GauffStuttgart Quarter-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Quarter-final
#13WTA
2057ELO
1992Clay ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 April 2024
clay
#7WTA
2071ELO
2018Clay ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
Kostyuk M.
3-6 6-4 7-6
Gauff C.
Kostyuk M.
36782
Gauff C.
64661

Marta Kostyuk defeated Coco Gauff 3-6 6-4 7-6 in the Stuttgart quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 16. Marta Kostyuk narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaR32hardMarta Kostyuk6-2 7-5
2024-10-07WuhanR16hardCoco Gauff6-4 6-1
2024-01-15Australian OpenQFhardCoco Gauff7-6(6) 6-7(3) 6-2
2022-01-10Adelaide 2R16hardCoco Gauff6-3 5-7 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Gauff C.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kostyuk M.Gauff C.
61
Serve
100
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.9
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
99
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 40 days (−1.0)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1992
Surface ELO
5.8+26 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 2071
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
7.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
60

Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 87%