Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra EalaWashington Final

Washington · WTA · Final
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWWLW
·
Sets
Interrupted
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 1st on
#28WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWLL
Pegula J.
6-4 1-2
Eala A.

Key context

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
92
77
Break points saved·Even
79
75
Break points won·Even
98
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 72%

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+226 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1832
7.5Overall Elo 2096
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1895
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
70
69

Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Eala A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Jessica Pegula faces Alexandra Eala in the Washington final on hard. Jessica Pegula holds the paper edge — ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage.

Around the match

  • I think that my serve can be uncomfortable. I think I try to play around a lot with variety. Of course, it would be great if I had a serve that went 200 kilometers per hour. I'd love that also, but it's a process.

  • That week, I think I've said before, was just kind of the monkey off my back. I remember playing a great final. I played really, really well and was able to handle my nerves and all these other emotions I had going in.

    Pegula J.WTA Tennis
  • Going into this tournament, I looked at the list, and it was jam-packed. It was big player after big player after big player. So to be in the final really means a lot to me.

  • Alex, I'm a big fan of hers. She's the future of the tour and she's already here.

    Pegula J.Yahoo Sports

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-18MiamiSFhardJessica Pegula7-6 5-7 6-3

Draw