Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32
Why
Surface+238 Hard Elo edgeSupports Zverev A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2100Supports Zverev A.
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardSupports Zverev A.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Zverev A.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 304
Hard ELO2 126
Last 107–3
Age29
Height198 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $68.6M2026 $9.0M
ELO2 101
Hard ELO1 898
Last 107–3
Age24
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $15.6M2026 $1.3M
Alexander Zverev faces Lorenzo Musetti in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 32 on hard. Alexander Zverev is the paper favourite — ranked #1, a roughly 240-point hard Elo advantage — but Lorenzo Musetti has won 3 of their 5 previous meetings.
Key context
- Freshness: Alexander Zverev comes in with 3 days of rest and 100 games in 14d, vs Lorenzo Musetti's 1 and 188.
- Serve & return: Alexander Zverev brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 91), Lorenzo Musetti the stronger return game (Return Rating 52).
- Last match: Lorenzo Musetti won all two sets in tiebreaks against Hubert Hurkacz.
Common opponents
15 shared · last 12 monthsZverev A. and Musetti L. faced 15 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Zverev A. went 16–7 (70%) against them, Musetti L. 12–8 (60%). Results against comparable opponents are close (4 : 3 better-results split).
16–770%Zverev A. · better vs 4Record vs common opponents12–860%Musetti L. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
43–18Sets33–19
352–274Games276–249
7–4Tiebreaks6–1
1–6Deciding sets2–2
vs Alcaraz C.#3L4-6 6-7 7-6 7-6 5-7Australian Open · hardL4-6 1-6Tour Finals · hard
vs Tiafoe F.#8W6-3 6-4Indian Wells Masters · hardL6-7(2) 5-7Cincinnati · hard
vs De Minaur A.#9L6-2 6-7(5) 9-11Laver Cup - London · hardW7-5 3-6 7-5Tour Finals · hard
Show 12 more ▾Show less ▴
- vs Jodar R.#10W6-1 6-3Roland Garros · clayL6-1 1-6 4-6Washington · hard
vs Djokovic N.#11L6-4 4-6 4-6Beijing · hardL6-4 6-3 1-3Australian Open · hard- vs Fritz T.#12L7-6 4-6 5-7Halle · grassW6-2 7-5 6-4Australian Open · hard
vs Lehecka J.#15W6-4 7-5 3-6 7-6Wimbledon · grassL3-6 3-6Madrid Masters · clay
vs Cerundolo F.#20W6-1 6-2Miami Masters · hardW7-6 6-4Rome Masters · clay
vs Hurkacz H.#29L3-6 4-6United Cup · hardW6-4 7-6Madrid Masters · clay
vs Fery A.#32W6-0 6-2Vienna · hardL4-6 7-5 4-6Vienna · hard
vs Griekspoor T.#50L7-6 2-6 4-6Montreal · hardW6-4 7-5Madrid Masters · clay
vs Collignon R.#55WHalle · grassW4-6 7-6 7-5 3-2Australian Open · hard
vs Altmaier D.#63W7-5 6-3Rome Masters · clayW6-4 6-2Cincinnati · hard- vs Machac T.#69W6-4 6-2 6-2Roland Garros · clayW5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2Australian Open · hard
vs Sonego L.#106W6-4 3-6 6-7(7) 7-5 6-4US Open · hardW6-3 6-3 6-4Australian Open · hard
Head-to-head
5 meetings · Musetti L. leads 3–223
Hard: level 1–1 · Clay: Musetti L. leads 2–1
- Zverev A.October 2025ViennaHard6-4 7-5
- Musetti L.May 2025Rome MastersClay7-6 6-4
- Musetti L.October 2024ViennaHard2-6 7-6 6-4
- Musetti L.July 2024Paris OlympicsClay7-5 7-5
- Zverev A.May 2022Madrid MastersClay6-3 1-0
Evidence
Zverev A.Musetti L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate80% (65–16) (ahead)68% (27–13)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2304 (ahead)2101
Hard-court ELO2126 (ahead)1898
Serve vs returnLast 79 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)71%
Return points won37%38% (ahead)
Aces / match10.3 (ahead)4.2
ClutchLast 79 vs 40 matches
Break points saved63%66% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-04/musetti-vs-zverev-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 4 November 2026).