Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev — Rome Masters Quarter-final

Rome Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA8
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
Alexander Zverev
GER2
Alexander Zverev
#3ATP
2100ELO
2051Clay ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Musetti L.
7-6 6-4
Zverev A.
Musetti L.
7762
Zverev A.
6140

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Alexander Zverev 7-6 6-4 in the Rome Masters quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, defending the title, but Lorenzo Musetti had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaSFhardAlexander Zverev6-4 7-5
2024-10-21ViennaQFhardLorenzo Musetti2-6 7-6(5) 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsQFclayLorenzo Musetti7-5 7-5
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR16clayAlexander Zverev6-3 1-0 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Musetti L.Zverev A.
35
Serve
64
—
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Musetti L.Zverev A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Musetti L.Zverev A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
94
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Slight edge
82
90
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Musetti L.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Zverev A.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1853
Surface ELO
6.0+199 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 2100
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.0
Surface form
7.8
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.9
Minutes 14d
6.8
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.7
Country comfort
6.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Musetti L.Zverev A.
Freshness·
—
52

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%
Final
Alcaraz C.[3]
Sinner J.[1]
7-656-1
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Paul T.[11]
1-66-06-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Musetti L.[8]
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[3]
Draper J.[5]
6-46-4
Paul T.[11]
Hurkacz H.[30]
7-646-3
Musetti L.[8]
Zverev A.[2]
7-616-4
Sinner J.[1]
Ruud C.[6]
6-06-1
R16
Musetti L.[8]
Medvedev D.[10]
7-56-4
Paul T.[11]
De Minaur A.[7]
7-56-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Khachanov K.[23]
6-33-67-5
Zverev A.[2]
Fils A.[13]
7-636-1
Sinner J.[1]
Cerundolo F.[17]
7-626-3
Ruud C.[6]
Munar J.
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.[30]
Mensik J.[20]
7-654-67-65
Draper J.[5]
Moutet C.
1-66-46-3
R32
Ruud C.[6]
Berrettini M.[29]
7-52-0
Hurkacz H.[30]
Giron M.
6-31-66-1
Fils A.[13]
Tsitsipas S.[18]
2-66-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Machac T.[19]
6-36-756-4
Alcaraz C.[3]
Djere L.
7-626-2
Munar J.
Korda S.[22]
6-46-2
Medvedev D.[10]
Popyrin A.[24]
6-46-1
Draper J.[5]
Kopriva V.
6-46-3
De Minaur A.[7]
Dellien H.
6-46-4
Moutet C.
Rune H.[9]
7-55-77-64
Mensik J.[20]
Marozsan F.
6-47-62
Sinner J.[1]
De Jong J.
6-46-2
Khachanov K.[23]
Passaro F.
6-36-0
Cerundolo F.[17]
Ofner S.
6-26-4
Musetti L.[8]
Nakashima B.[28]
6-46-3
Zverev A.[2]
Gaubas V.
6-46-0
R64
De Minaur A.[7]
Nardi L.
6-47-5
Moutet C.
Humbert U.[21]
6-34-0
Giron M.
Fritz T.[4]
7-647-63
Popyrin A.[24]
Taberner C.
6-17-64
Passaro F.
Dimitrov G.[14]
7-56-3
Nakashima B.[28]
Thompson J.
W/O
Sinner J.[1]
Navone M.
6-36-4
Marozsan F.
Rublev A.[16]
7-54-66-3
Khachanov K.[23]
Burruchaga R.
6-45-76-1
Munar J.
Shelton B.[12]
6-26-1
Djere L.
Michelsen A.[31]
6-06-3
Draper J.[5]
Darderi L.
6-16-4
Tsitsipas S.[18]
Muller A.
6-27-63
Ruud C.[6]
Bublik A.
6-44-66-3
Dellien H.
Seyboth Wild T.
4-66-36-4
De Jong J.
Davidovich Fokina A.[25]
6-06-2
Korda S.[22]
Vukic A.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[20]
Gigante M.
7-647-5
Kopriva V.
Baez S.[32]
3-66-46-4
Medvedev D.[10]
Norrie C.
6-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Bautista Agut R.
6-16-4
Machac T.[19]
Tien L.
6-46-4
Musetti L.[8]
Virtanen O.
6-36-2
Rune H.[9]
Comesana F.
3-66-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-26-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Gaubas V.
Shapovalov D.[27]
6-36-4
Berrettini M.[29]
Fearnley J.
6-47-60
Hurkacz H.[30]
Martinez P.
6-17-5
Fils A.[13]
Griekspoor T.
6-26-2
Ofner S.
Tiafoe F.[15]
6-26-726-3
Cerundolo F.[17]
Jarry N.
7-646-3
R128
Ofner S.
Carballes Baena R.
6-30-0
Gigante M.
Rinderknech A.
7-647-64
Virtanen O.
Medjedovic H.
6-46-4
Passaro F.
Tseng C.
6-02-66-3
Giron M.
Diallo G.
3-66-36-4
De Jong J.
Shevchenko A.
6-26-4
Norrie C.
Oconnell C.
6-36-2
Griekspoor T.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-0
Navone M.
Cina F.
6-36-3
Darderi L.
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-3
Vukic A.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-626-2
Muller A.
Lehecka J.
2-66-37-65
Seyboth Wild T.
Borges N.
6-14-66-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Carreno Busta P.
6-21-66-3
Jarry N.
Gaston H.
7-646-4
Comesana F.
Altmaier D.
6-17-5
Lajovic D.
Nishioka Y.
7-56-1
Munar J.
Barrios Vera T.
4-66-27-5
Djere L.
Etcheverry T.
6-36-2
Tien L.
Opelka R.
6-47-611
Kopriva V.
Halys Q.
6-46-3
Gaubas V.
Dzumhur D.
7-632-66-4
Taberner C.
Kovacevic A.
6-31-67-5
Nardi L.
Cobolli F.
6-36-4
Fearnley J.
Fognini F.
6-26-3
Moutet C.
Hijikata R.
3-66-17-5
Martinez P.
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
Bautista Agut R.
Arnaldi M.
6-46-3
Burruchaga R.
Sonego L.
6-26-3
Bublik A.
Safiullin R.
6-37-64
Thompson J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
3-66-37-65
Marozsan F.
Fonseca J.
6-37-64